Content type

Vietnam Growth Under Pressure From Global Coronavirus Outbreak

Country Risk / Vietnam / Mon 24 Feb, 2020

Key View

  • In light of the worsening global Covid-19 outbreak, we at Fitch Solutions are revising our 2020 growth forecast for Vietnam down to 6.3%, from 6.8% previously.
  • A disruption of supply chains in the region will also result in slower manufacturing growth, due to an inability to secure inputs from and export to China, a key trade partner.
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Ford Expansion's Impact On Vietnam's Vehicle Output Muted By Imports

Autos / Vietnam / Wed 15 Jan, 2020

Key View

  • Ford Motors' latest announcement that it intends to expand its Vietnam plant will provide only a modest boost to the country's vehicle output over 2020 and 2021.
  • Strong demand for vehicles will be geared towards imported vehicles, which will offer little support to local production
  • Skilled labour will also become an increasing
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Vietnam's Economic Growth To Ease Slightly In 2020

Country Risk / Vietnam / Thu 02 Jan, 2020

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions maintain our 2020 real GDP growth forecast for Vietnam at 6.8%.
  • Real GDP growth eased to 7.0% y-o-y in Q419, from an upwardly revised 7.5% y-o-y in Q319, due mainly to an easing of growth in the industrial sector.
  • Infrastructure and human capital bottlenecks will likely continue to cap growth of the manufacturing
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Further Targeted Monetary Easing Likely In Vietnam

Country Risk / Vietnam / Mon 25 Nov, 2019

Key View

  • The State Bank of Vietnam cut its interest rate caps on deposits and short-term loans on November 19.
  • We at Fitch Solutions believe that this signals a dovish shift in monetary policy, aimed at strengthening economic growth to counter external headwinds.
  • That said, we believe that the central bank is likely to continue conducting
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Vietnam's Water Sector Outperformance Driven By Diverse Needs

Infrastructure / Vietnam / Tue 05 Nov, 2019

Key View

  • Vietnam’s diverse water infrastructure needs will drive growth of the sector over the next decade. Foreign companies are expected to play an important role in financing and construction.
  • Bureaucratic inefficiencies have led to slow progress in water resource planning, meaning that any reforms to the sector will be a boon to the water
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Strong Growth In Vietnam, But Bottleneck Risks Rising

Country Risk / Vietnam / Tue 01 Oct, 2019

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions are revising up our real GDP growth forecast for Vietnam to 6.9% in 2019, from 6.5% previously.
  • Real GDP growth accelerated to 7.3% y-o-y in Q319, from 6.6% y-o-y in Q219, driven primarily by stronger growth from the manufacturing sector.
  • The influx of companies from China as a result of the US-China trade war
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Vietnam's Gas Self-Sufficiency To End By 2022

Oil & Gas / Vietnam / Fri 23 Aug, 2019

Key View

  • Vietnam’s historical self-sufficiency in natural gas is forecast to come to an end by 2022, as reserves and output both begin to decline.
  • The country’s proposed, planned LNG-to-power projects pipeline remains robust, mostly put forth by a consortium of IOCs, seeking to make inroads into Vietnam’s fast-growing gas and LNG sector.
  • Gas
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