Content type

Exports And Inward Investment To Weaken In Tanzania

Country Risk / Tanzania / Fri 01 Mar, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we expect Tanzania’s current account deficit to widen in the coming quarters given a growing trade deficit.
  • Export receipts will weaken in the coming months as a result of low gold prices and uncertainty in the mining sector, as well as the government’s difficulty selling on its high stocks of cashew inventory.
  • Mea
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Tanzania's Monetary Policy To Remain Unchanged

Country Risk / Tanzania / Fri 16 Nov, 2018

Key View

  • We expect the Bank of Tanzania (BoT) to keep the discount rate and statutory minimum reserve (SMR) ratio on hold at 7.0% and 8.0% respectively in Q418 and 2019.
  • The BoT will face competing pressures. Inflation will pick up to 5.4% in 2019, limiting the window for further interest rate cuts, while slow output growth will militate
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Security Issues On Tanzania's Borders Will Pose Risks

Country Risk / Tanzania / Thu 30 Aug, 2018

Key View

  • Tensions relating to Tanzania's southern neighbours Malawi and Mozambique have the potential to pose risks to regional stability in the coming years.
  • While the border dispute at Lake Malawi (known as Lake Nyasa in Tanzania) is unlikely to escalate, risks are increasing with Malawi's upcoming election in 2019.
  • Meanwhile, increasing
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No Monetary Easing In Tanzania Before New Policy Framework

Country Risk / Tanzania / Thu 23 Aug, 2018

  • We expect Tanzania's monetary policy to remain relatively loose in the coming quarters given slow credit growth, but forecast no further easing or hiking.
  • Inflation will remain on target for 2018 but will begin to rise from Q119.
  • We do not anticipate any monetary policy changes until the new monetary policy framework is adopted, given that the
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