Content type

Monetary Policy To Remain Accommodative In Taiwan

Country Risk / Taiwan / Fri 20 Dec, 2019

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions believe that the Central Bank of the Republic of China (CBC) will stand pat in 2020, following its decision to hold its policy rate at 1.375% at its monetary policy meeting on December 19 2019.
  • We expect Taiwan’s growth to remain stable over the coming quarters, which limits the need for the CBC to cut its
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Slight Narrowing Likely For Taiwan's Current Account Surplus

Country Risk / Taiwan / Fri 13 Dec, 2019

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions expect Taiwan’s current account surplus to narrow slightly to 11.4% of GDP in 2020, compared with a four-quarter rolling sum current account balance of 11.7% of GDP recorded in Q319 and our forecast of 11.9% in 2019, due to a lower trade surplus.
  • Despite the reshoring of Taiwanese companies from mainland China
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Shifting Preferences: A Threat To Taiwan's Autos Production

Autos / Taiwan / Tue 09 Jul, 2019

Key View

  • We believe the ongoing shift in consumer preferences, especially in developed markets, from traditional passenger vehicles to sports utility vehicles will prompt OEMs based in Taiwan to adapt by ramping up SUV production.
  • Taiwanese consumers are increasingly turning to the international market in order to fill their growing demand for
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Rising External Headwinds To Weigh On Taiwan's Growth

Country Risk / Taiwan / Thu 04 Jul, 2019

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions are maintaining our growth forecast for Taiwan at 2.1% in 2019, down from 2.6% in 2018.
  • We expect a challenging external environment amid rising US-China trade tensions to weigh on exports, which combined with weak electronics demand will continue to weigh on industrial production and investment. 

In our last

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Taiwan Nuclear Phase-Out Faces Headwinds

Power / Taiwan / Wed 19 Jun, 2019

Key View

  • We maintain our view that the nuclear phase-down policy in Taiwan will continue for the time being despite the amendment of a provision in Taiwan's Electricity Act, which stipulated that all nuclear power generation facilities 'shall cease to operate by 2025'. 
  • This is largely due to an ongoing commitment for denuclearisation by the
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Low Inflation And Rising Real Yields To Support Taiwan Dollar

Country Risk / Taiwan / Tue 07 May, 2019

Key View

  • The Taiwan dollar has been trading sideways in 2019 and we at Fitch Solutions expect this trend to continue over the short-term horizon due to conflicting factors. The expected stabilisation of the Chinese yuan should lend support to the TWD by correlation, while weak exports due to the ongoing US-China trade war will dampen demand for
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Stop-Start Growth Of The Formosa Bond Market

Corporates / Taiwan / Wed 30 Jan, 2019

Taiwan’s offshore bond market is set to continue experiencing growing pains. After a record year of activity in 2018 in the country’s so-called Formosa bond market, following a series of moves to open it up to a widen pool of investors through looser regulation, we expect 2019 to herald a turnaround in fortunes with a slowdown in activity once more

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