Content type

Tourism To Weigh On Spain's Current Account Surplus Well Into 2021

Country Risk / Spain / Thu 26 Nov, 2020

Key View

  • A deterioration in the trade balance will see Spain’s current account surplus to narrow to 0.7% of GDP in 2020, from 2.1% in 2019.
  • At Fitch Solutions we expect the current account balance to widen only moderately in 2021, to 1.1% of GDP, with the tourism sector likely to remain a drag on the exports rebound as we assume some Covid-19
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Deflationary Pressures To Remain In Play For Longer In Spain

Country Risk / Spain / Fri 28 Aug, 2020

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions expect deflationary pressures will persist in Spain over the coming months, with average inflation coming in at -0.5% in 2020 according to our forecasts, from an already low 0.8% in 2019.

  • We forecast an only modest rebound in headline inflation in 2021, to 1.0%, largely the result of base effects, as we

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