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Mounting Headwinds For Policymaking In South Korea

Country Risk / South Korea / Mon 27 Aug, 2018

Key View

We expect South Korea's opposition parties to reject the ruling Minjoo Party of Korea's offer for them to join President Moon Jae-In's cabinet, which we view as a bid to secure legislative support for his economic agenda. Moon's popularity is likely to fall further alongside the macroeconomic outlook, especially jobs growth, over the

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South Korea's GDP Growth To Face Mounting Headwinds

Country Risk / South Korea / Fri 27 Jul, 2018

We are revising down our forecast for South Korea's real GDP growth in 2018 from 3.0% to 2.7%. This is due to weaker export growth as a result of base effects and escalating global trade tensions, as well as the weak employment outlook in the country, which will weigh on private consumption.

We are revising down our forecast for South Korea's real

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Construction Growth Momentum To Slow

Infrastructure / South Korea / Wed 29 Mar, 2017

South Korea's construction industry will continue to grow at elevated rates through 2019, but momentum will slow afterward as property-market cooling measures take effect and as major infrastructure projects reach completion.

We have upgraded our forecast for South Korea's construction industry in light of more recent data and expect growth to

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Scenario: US Military Strike On North Korea

Country Risk / South Korea / Mon 20 Mar, 2017

Although we do not anticipate US military action against North Korea in the near term, the possibility will grow as Pyongyang comes closer to achieving the ability to deliver a nuclear strike on the continental United States. In this scenario, we consider the implications of the US attacking North Korea.

North Korea continues to make progress in

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