Content type

Bank Of Korea To Stand Pat Despite House Price Surge

Country Risk / South Korea / Thu 27 May, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions forecast the Bank of Korea to keep its key policy interest rate on hold through 2021 and H122 to support the recovery in domestic demand.
  • Supply-side price pressures will see headline inflation average 1.4% y-o-y in 2021, up from an average of 0.5% in 2020.
  • However, we expect these pressures to prove temporary
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Consumer Outlook 2021: Robust Recovery In South Korea's Consumer Spending

Consumer & Retail / South Korea / Tue 18 May, 2021

Key View

  • We forecast real household spending in South Korea to begin its recovery over 2021, growing by a projected 2.5% y-o-y, after an estimated contraction of -3.9% in 2020. We note that the economic impact of the Covid-19 pandemic has created a significantly low base for consumer spending to grow from. 
  • South Korean households have been
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South Korea's Growth Outlook Capped By Soft Domestic Demand

Country Risk / South Korea / Tue 26 Jan, 2021

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions have revised down our real GDP growth forecast to 3.0% in 2021, from a prior 3.5%, owing to pandemic-related disruptions in Q121 and a subdued domestic demand outlook.
  • Upsides will emerge from an upturn in the global trade cycle, which will drive a rebound in activity, along with a supportive stance from South
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