Content type

USMCA Gives Mexico Advantage As Global Supply Chains Shift

Autos / Mexico / Tue 21 Jul, 2020

Key View

  • The effectuation of the US-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) will compound the existing factors supporting Mexico as a beneficiary of automotive supply chain diversification.
  • Mexico's comparatively attractive operating environment and proximity to the US and Canada inform our assessment that it will benefit from a reallocation of
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Mexican Government Support Driving Rail Projects Ahead

Infrastructure / Mexico / Thu 18 Jun, 2020

Key View

  • The Tren Maya and Tren del Istmo rail projects have seen growing momentum in recent weeks, as construction works have ramped up, supported by robust public funding from Mexico’s government.
  • Backed by public support, we expect the projects will see major progress over the coming quarters, preventing a more substantial downturn in rail
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Impact Of Covid-19 On Mexican Consumer Spending Patterns Will Drive Demand For Discount And Wholesale MGR

Consumer & Retail / Mexico / Fri 15 May, 2020

Key View

  • Mexico’s consumer outlook will contract significantly in 2020 due to the impact of Covid-19, with real household spending projected to decline by -6.1% for the year, a revision down on the 2.0% y-o-y growth we forecast for 2020 in the pre-Covid-19 environment.
  • The food and drink sector is projected to remain somewhat shielded from
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Mexico Will Abandon Fiscal Austerity As Covid-19 Spreads

Country Risk / Mexico / Fri 27 Mar, 2020

Key View

  • The global Covid-19 (coronavirus) pandemic will push Mexico’s budget deficit sharply wider, as revenues are hit hard by slowing growth and the government is forced to implement spending increases.
  • We at Fitch Solutions have revised our forecast for Mexico’s budget deficit to 4.2% of GDP in 2020, up from 2.3% previously and 1.6% in 2019
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Mexico To Remain In Recession In 2020 As Covid-19 Risks Play Out

Country Risk / Mexico / Thu 12 Mar, 2020

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions have revised down our real GDP growth forecast for Mexico in 2020, as a number of risks related to the global Covid-19 (coronavirus) outbreak play out.
  • We now forecast real GDP growth of -0.2% y-o-y, a second-consecutive year of contraction after -0.1% growth in 2019. This is down from our previous forecast of 1.0
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