Content type

Central Bank Of Kenya To Remain Neutral Over 2020

Banking & Financial Services / Kenya / Wed 08 Jan, 2020

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we forecast average inflation of 5.9% over 2020, up from 5.2% in 2019 due to rising food prices.
  • Following the repeal of a cap on commercial bank lending rates and a policy rate cut of 50 basis points (bps) in November 2019, we expect the Central Bank of Kenya to hold its policy interest rate at 8.50% over 2020
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Central Bank Of Kenya To Implement Moderate Rate Cut

Country Risk / Kenya / Tue 01 Oct, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we expect Kenya’s inflation rate to accelerate over the coming quarters, but to remain within the Central Bank of Kenya (CBK)’s 2.5-7.5% target range.
  • We expect the CBK to lower its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 8.50% by end-2019 before keeping the new rate unchanged in 2020 as inflation rises.
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Kenyan Growth Bound For A Moderate Slowdown In 2019

Country Risk / Kenya / Fri 15 Mar, 2019

Key View

  • We at Fitch Solutions expect that headwinds to growth in private consumption, investment and exports will see Kenya’s economy expand at a slower pace in 2019.
  • The ongoing cap on bank lending rates – which will continue to dampen credit growth – and rising inflation will constrain growth in private investment and household consumption
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Kenya Consumer Outlook: Mobile Payments Buoy Consumption

Consumer & Retail / Kenya / Fri 08 Feb, 2019

Key View: We hold a positive outlook for the Kenyan consumer from 2019 onwards. While inflation and unemployment remain a risk, strong growth in incomes and the wide adoption of transactional technology (e.g. mobile payment systems) will boost consumer spending over the coming years. 

Our Country Risk Team forecasts a moderation in growth for

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Kenya's Rapid Urbanisation To Drive Up The Need For Buses

Autos / Kenya / Thu 10 Jan, 2019

Key View

  • We believe that Kenya's rapid urbanisation will increase the congestion levels of its large cities, which will place pressure on the government to provide more mass public transportation solutions, such as buses, over our 2019-2028 forecast period.
  • The urban population of Kenya will triple in size between 2015 and 2050, from 12.1mn to
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