Content type

Egypt's Current Account Deficit To Widen, But Reserves Robust

Country Risk / Egypt / Wed 24 Jul, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we believe Egypt’s current account deficit will widen marginally over the coming quarters, hitting 2.5% of GDP in FY2019/20, from an estimated 2.4% in FY2018/19.
  • A widening trade deficit will drag most on the current account, driven by a rise in non-oil imports.
  • However, tourism revenue and remittances will keep
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Egypt A Bright Spot For Ride Hailing Services

Autos / Egypt / Wed 26 Jun, 2019

Key View:

  • We believe Egypt will continue to witness increased investment in its ride hailing services industry due to an inadequate public transport infrastructure and high traffic congestion levels in its main cities amid rising urbanisation and persistently low vehicle ownership rates.
  • Increased competition and Innovation will lead to more M
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Egypt's Fiscal Consolidation To Continue Apace

Country Risk / Egypt / Wed 08 May, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we forecast Egypt’s fiscal deficit to narrow to 6.8% of GDP in FY2019/20, from 8.2% in FY2018/19.
  • Savings will account for the bulk of the gains, with the government on course to embark on another round of subsidy cuts in mid-2019.
  • Strong revenue growth, driven by rapid economic growth, improved tax collection and
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Egypt's Growth To Tick Up On Investment And Consumption

Country Risk / Egypt / Wed 01 May, 2019

Key View

  • At Fitch Solutions, we forecast Egypt’s real GDP growth to accelerate moderately from 5.3% in FY2018/19 to 5.4% in FY2019/20.
  • Investment will remain a strong driver of headline growth, primarily as a result of rising government spending on infrastructure and rapid development of the country’s hydrocarbon sector.
  • Growth will also
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Bullish Bid Round Continues Egyptian Upstream Momentum

Oil & Gas / Egypt / Mon 11 Mar, 2019

Key Views:

  • Strong international participation in the latest exploration licensing round results, announced in February 2019, is indicative of the strong outlook for the country's oil and gas sector.
  • Low cost breakevens, significant existing infrastructure, technical knowledge and an improving regulatory environment with the Egyptian government
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CBE Likely To Keep Rates On Hold In Near Term

Country Risk / Egypt / Tue 12 Feb, 2019

Key View:

  • We at Fitch Solutions expect the Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) to keep interest rates on hold over the next few months as the effects of subsidy cuts feed through to higher inflation.
  • We see scope for the bank to resume its rate-cutting cycle in H219 as price pressures cool. That said, the pace of easing will likely be gradual amid more
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Egypt President May Look To Extend Rule Beyond 2022

Country Risk / Middle East / Wed 16 Jan, 2019

Key View:

  • Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi appears likely to be granted a constitutional amendment allowing him to run for additional terms beyond 2022.
  • Domestic and external security conditions are conducive to Sisi extending his term in office.
  • The performance of the economy will be the key determinant of Sisi’s political fortunes.
  • D
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