BMI Country Risk
Expert analysis of the political and economic risks that could
impact your growth strategies in more than 200 markets.
Latest Insights
USAID Cuts Will Have Adverse Economic And Social Impacts In SSA
Improved Security, Political Conditions Will Spark Economic Rebound In Lebanon
Sierra Leonean Growth Will Accelerate On Increasing Private Consumption In 2025
Argentina: Economic Track Record Sets Governing Party Up For Electoral Success
South Korea's Current Account Surplus Will Narrow In 2025
UAE Poised For Stronger Growth In 2025 Driven By Diversification And Rebounding Oil Output
Cambodia: Growth To Pick Up, But Headwinds Persist
Upward Revision To Honduras Growth, But Still Expecting A Slowdown
Some Economies May Have More Policy Space To Respond To Tariff Shocks
Ghanaian Government Faces Significant Policy Dilemmas In 2025
Argentina: Current Account Deficit In 2025 Poses Minimal Risks To External Account Stability
Quick View: Australia's Economic Momentum Strengthens In Q4, Further Acceleration Expected Ahead
Events
Global Macroeconomic Update: Navigating Policy Risks
Mar 26, 2025
Webinar | Asia-Pacific 16:00 SGT | Middle East 12:00 GST | Americas 10:00 EDT | Europe 14:00 GMT
US Aid Cuts: Global Effects on Sustainability, Healthcare, and Infrastructure
Mar 25, 2025
Webinar | 09:00 London GMT | 11:00 South Africa SAST | 17:00 Singapore SGT
Sub-Saharan Africa Mid-Tier Markets Update
Mar 18, 2025
Webinar | 09:00 London GMT | 11:00 South Africa SAST |17:00 Singapore SGT
Germany Election Aftermath: Macro And Industry Implications
Feb 24, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT
Implications of Trump 2.0 for Vietnam: Navigating Trade, Investment, and Industry Risks
Feb 21, 2025
Webinar | 17:00 Singapore SGT | 09:00 London GMT
ESG Country Key Themes For 2025
Feb 20, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 New York EST | 15:00 London GMT
Fighting, Funding & Ending The Russia-Ukraine War
Feb 20, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT
AI & Its Impact On Global Labour Markets
Feb 19, 2025
Webinar | 09:00 New York EST | 14:00 London GMT
ESG Country Key Themes For 2025
Feb 18, 2025
Webinar | Asia-Pacific 16:00 SGT | Middle East 12:00 GST | Americas 10:00 EST | Europe 15:00 GMT
Infrastructure Key Themes For 2025: Cautious Optimism Amid Global Tailwinds
Feb 13, 2025
Webinar | 09:30 New York EST | 14:30 London GMT
Power and Energy Transition Key Themes: Rising Risks, Energy Strategies, and Renewable Policy Challenges
Feb 11, 2025
Webinar | Americas 10:00 EST | Europe 15:00 GMT
GeoQuant - Forecasting Trump 2.0
Feb 06, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 New York EST | 15:00 London GMT
Trump’s Trade Tariffs: Global And Regional Implications, And Scenarios
Feb 04, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 New York EDT | 15:00 London GMT
Banking Key Themes For 2025: Navigating Lower Rates, Real Estate Challenges And Basel Delays
Jan 30, 2025
Webinar | 09:00 London GMT | 13:00 Dubai GST | 17:00 Singapore SGT
MENA Macroeconomic Key Themes For 2025: Geopolitical Challenges In Levant Will Overshadow Positive Economic Momentum Elsewhere
Jan 28, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT | 14:00 Dubai GST
Sub-Saharan Africa Macroeconomic Update: Stronger Headline Growth But Structural Vulnerabilities Persist
Jan 23, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT | 12:00 South Africa SAST
Europe Macroeconomic Update: Key Themes For 2025
Jan 22, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT | 11:00 Central European Time CET
Latin America Macroeconomic Key Themes For 2025: Coping With Trump, Returning To Orthodoxy
Jan 21, 2025
Webinar | 10:00 New York EST | 15:00 London GMT
Asia Macroeconomic Update: Elevated Uncertainty For 2025 Economic Outlook Amid Political And Fiscal Challenges
Jan 14, 2025
Webinar | 16:00 Singapore SGT | 17:00 Tokyo JST
Eurozone Fiscal Outlook 2025: Evaluating the Implications of Fiscal Consolidation on Economic Growth and Inflation
Dec 12, 2024
Webinar | 11:00 London GMT
Global Macroeconomic Update: Key Themes For The Year Ahead
Dec 10, 2024
Webinar | 16:00 Asia-Pacific SGT | 12:00 Middle East GST | 09:30 Americas EST | 14:30 Europe GMT
Emerging Markets Key Themes for 2025
Dec 05, 2024
Webinar | Americas 09:30 EST | Europe 14:30 GMT
Middle East 2025: Country & Industry Outlook
Dec 04, 2024
Webinar | 09:30 London GMT | 13:30 Dubai GST
Ghana Decides: Economic, Business & Political Implications Of The 2024 Election
Dec 03, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London GMT
Navigating Myanmar’s Civil War
Nov 27, 2024
Webinar | 09:00 London GMT
Assessing Malaysia’s Opportunities & Risks: Insights for 2024 and Beyond
Nov 21, 2024
Webinar | 16:00 Singapore SGT | 08:00 London GMT
Fiscal & Monetary Policy Developments In Sub-Saharan Africa: Implications For Economic Growth & Banking Sector Stability
Nov 19, 2024
Webinar | 11:00 London GMT
Post Election Results: Global Implications
Nov 07, 2024
Webinar | 14:30 London GMT | 9:30 New York EDT
Sub-Saharan Africa Macroeconomic Update: A Brighter 2025 Ahead, But Risks Remain
Nov 05, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 South Africa SAST
GeoQuant - US Election Forecast
Oct 31, 2024
Webinar | 10:30 New York EDT | 14:30 London GMT
MENA Macroeconomic Update: Region Entering 2025 On Shaky Ground
Oct 23, 2024
Webinar | 10:30 London BST | 13:30 Dubai GST
Europe Macroeconomic Update: Economic Recovery Amidst US Election Risks
Oct 22, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 Central European Time CEST
Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Update: The Asymmetric Impact of AI in Asia and 2025
Oct 17, 2024
Webinar | 14:30 Singapore SGT | 15:30 Tokyo JST | 17:30 Sydney AEST
Latin America Macroeconomic Update: Navigating Political and Economic Changes Post US Elections
Oct 16, 2024
Webinar | 10:30 New York EDT | 15:30 London GMT
World of Worries: Political Risks in 2025
Oct 09, 2024
Virtual Event
Flood Ahead: Macro Impact Of Disasters In 2025
Oct 03, 2024
Webinar
Global Macroeconomic Update: Global Slowdown, Fed Cuts & Political Risks
Sep 26, 2024
Webinar | Americas 09:30 EDT | Europe 14:30 BST
GeoQuant WGI Nowcast Product & Governance Risk
Sep 17, 2024
Webinar | 15:30 BST London | 10:30 New York EDT
Will EV Sales Rebound In 2025?
Sep 11, 2024
Webinar | 09:30 London BST
US Election Roundtable
Aug 27, 2024
Webinar | 9.30 New York EDT | 14:30 London BST
Latin America Macroeconomic Update: Green Shoots In Places, Clouds In Others
Jul 25, 2024
Webinar | 11:00 New York EDT | 09:00 Mexico CST | 12:00 Brazil BRT | 16:00 London BST
Europe Macroeconomic Update: The Age Of Elections
Jul 23, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 Central European Time CEST
Sub-Saharan Africa Macroeconomic Update: Brighter Outlook For H2 2024 & 2025
Jul 17, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 South Africa SAST
ESG In Action: Navigating Sustainability Trends In Emerging Markets
Jul 16, 2024
Webinar | Asia-Pacific 15:00 SGT | Middle East 11:00 GST | Americas 09:30 EDT | Europe 14:30 BST
MENA Macroeconomic Update: Political & Economic Outlook For H2 2024 And 2025
Jul 10, 2024
Webinar | 11:00 London BST | 14:00 Dubai GST
France’s Legislative Elections: Key Takeaways And Implications
Jul 09, 2024
Webinar | 10:30 London BST
Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Update: Navigating Post-Election India And Monetary Policy Shifts
Jul 09, 2024
Webinar | 09:00 London BST | 16:00 Singapore SGT | 17:00 Tokyo JST
UK Election Response: What Lies Ahead?
Jul 05, 2024
Webinar | 10:30 London BST
Global Macroeconomic Update: Mid-Year Outlook
Jul 03, 2024
Webinar | Americas 09:30 EDT | Europe 14:30 BST
UK: Challenges For The New Parliament
Jun 18, 2024
10:30 London BST
EU Policy: The Implications Of The European Parliamentary Elections
Jun 12, 2024
10:00 London BST
Chile And Peru Macroeconomic Update: With Special Focus On Risks And Opportunities Within The Mining Sector
Jun 07, 2024
Webinar | 15:30 London BST | 10:30 New York EDT
Emerging Markets Key Themes 2024
Jun 06, 2024
Webinar | 08:00 London BST | 15:00 Singapore SGT
The Modi Operandi: India's Outlook Post-Election
Jun 05, 2024
Webinar | 13:00 New Delhi IST | 15:30 Singapore SGT | 08:30 London BST
Beyond The Ballot Box: Understanding South Africa's Post-Election Economic Climate
Jun 03, 2024
Webinar | 14:00 London BST
Tinubu's First Year in Power: Reforms, Risks & Nigeria's Road Ahead
May 23, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST
Russia-Ukraine War: An Update
May 23, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST
Mexican Election Preview: Predictable Pathways, Fresh Avenues
May 22, 2024
Webinar | 16:30 London BST | 10:30 Mexico City CDT
South Africa’s General Election: ANC To Lose Majority But Remain Main Policy Driver
May 15, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 South Africa SAST
Immigration To Remain A Catalyst For DM Growth, But There Are Laggards
May 10, 2024
Webinar | 11:00 London BST
Global Political Risks in 2024: Latest Flashpoints & Elections Update
May 09, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 New York EDT | 15:00 London BST
MENA Macroeconomic Update: Post-War Geopolitical Landscape, Impact On GCC Markets And Egypt's IMF-Powered Rebound
Apr 23, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 13:00 Dubai GST
Israel-Iran Tensions: What’s Next?
Apr 17, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 13:00 Dubai GST | 17:00 Singapore SGT
Europe Macroeconomic Update: Growth Steadying Softly
Apr 16, 2024
Webinar | 10:00 London BST | 11:00 Central European Time CET
Latin America Macroeconomic Update: Regional Growth Still Set To Slow In 2024
Apr 10, 2024
Webinar | 15:00 London BST | 10:00 New York EDT
Global Macroeconomic Update: Rate Cuts Still Coming
Apr 04, 2024
Webinar | 15:30 Dubai GST | 12:30 London BST
Global Macroeconomic Update: Rate Cuts Still Coming
Apr 03, 2024
Webinar | 09:30 New York EDT | 14:30 London BST | 10:30 Brasilia BRT
Global Macroeconomic Update: Rate Cuts Still Coming
Apr 03, 2024
Webinar | 09:30 Singapore SGT | 10:30 Japan JST | 12:30 Sydney AEDT
Long Reads

Sub-Saharan Africa Monthly Outlook: Opposition Victories Across SSA In Q4 Elections
In recent elections across Sub-Saharan Africa, opposition parties have achieved notable victories. In Botswana, a new party has taken control, aiming to diversify the economy. Mauritius has seen a significant opposition win, but BMI analysts do not anticipate major policy changes.

US Election Chartbook (July 2024)
The presidential election is too close to call, but Harris had a strong start and appears to have an edge based on recent opinion polls. Aided by her running mate, Minnesota Governor Tim Walz, Harris has secured support in the 'Blue Wall' seats in the Midwest, and Trump's lead in the Sunbelt has narrowed, with North Carolina appearing increasingly in play for Harris.