Key View

• Côte D'Ivoire's new vehicle sales (passenger and light commercial vehicles) will continue to show strong results as the country experiences robust economic growth over the forecast period.
• Long-term economic growth will be robust, as power sector improvements increase the productivity of rural areas. New and upgraded transport links to

Key View

• An OPEC-like collaboration between the two largest cocoa producers - Ghana and Cote d'Ivoire - set to come into effect in October, will unlikely have a significant impact on the industry in the medium term.
• Though the countries' influence on global supply and international trade is substantial, various structural barriers will inhibit

Key View

• Cote d'Ivoire's current account deficit is set to narrow over several years due to an improving outlook for cocoa prices and production.
• Import demand will be relatively elevated, keeping the current account in deficit. The country is undertaking several major infrastructure projects that will require significant capital goods imports

Key View

• The split of Cote d'Ivoire's ruling coalition - after most of the parties in the coalition chose to merge into a single party - will reduce the government's majority in the legislature but will not seriously imperil policy formation in the short term.
• The opposition parties are facing major internal divisions that will reduce their

2016/2017 cocoa output in Cote d'Ivoire is still on track to surpass the record harvest recorded in 2015, despite heavy rain in recent weeks. Production has peaked and we forecast production to decline in 2017/18, but Ivorian producers will continue to contribute to global oversupply this year and next, so the recovery in prices out to 2021 will be