Content type

China's Shift To 'Twin Deficit' Economy Sharpens Risks

Country Risk / China / Thu 14 Feb, 2019

Key Views

  • We forecast widening deficits in China's current account over the coming years, which will likely constrain policymakers as the economy becomes more reliant on foreign capital inflows while at the same time removing a key element of support for the yuan.
  • China’s growing need to attract foreign capital will accelerate reforms to
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China's Gasoline Exports Surge Set To Pressure Regional Margins

Oil & Gas / China / Mon 14 Jan, 2019

Key View:

  • China’s gasoline exports are poised to surge over the coming quarters, driven by several factors including the issuance of fresh fuel export quotas for the SOEs, refining capacity additions and a continued slowdown in domestic demand, due to slumping petrol-car sales and tighter fuel efficiency measures. 
  • In contrast to strong growth
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PetroChina's Earnings Supported By Crude Rally, Gas Price Reform

Oil & Gas / China / Fri 09 Nov, 2018

Key View:

  • PetroChina’s upstream business will continue to benefit from oil’s projected continued recovery over subsequent quarters.
  • A seasonal pick-up in gas demand would lend further support to earnings from its natural gas business over subsequent months.
  • However, the outlook for PetroChina’s downstream business remains more cautious, as
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