Key View

• We at Fitch Solutions expect Bangladesh’s economy to grow 5.8% in FY22 (July 2021 - June 2022), revised down from 6.3% owing to continued disruptions from Covid-19 and higher imports costs.
• Despite an upsurge in Covid-19 cases, activity levels continue to be strong and as such, we forecast strong private consumption and fixed

Key View

• Improving vaccinations will support Bangladesh's growth recovery in FY22.
• Despite economic rebound, a lack of medical funding, particularly in the public sector, will continue to limit the uptake of medicines.
• A lack of critical funding for public health services will severely limit patient access to medical care.

Improving

Key View

• We at Fitch Solutions have revised our FY22 (July 2021 – June 2022) real GDP growth forecast up to 6.3%, from 5.5% previously.
• We see an improved outlook for private consumption as Covid-19 vaccinations rates rise, but this will be blunted by weaker prospects for gross fixed capital formation as certain Belt and Road projects stall

Key View

• We at Fitch Solutions have revised our forecast for Bangladesh’s real GDP growth for FY22 (July 2021 – June 2022) down to 5.5%, level with our FY21 estimate.
• Covid-19 vaccine shortages, and an inability of the government to enforce its stringent lockdown will likely see the Bangladesh economy continue to struggle under the pandemic

Key View

• Increased longevity in Bangladesh will translate into higher demand for healthcare services, medicines and elderly care.
• Driven by an ageing population, Bangladesh will witness a rise in chronic disease burden.
• Chronic underfunding of public healthcare systems in Bangladesh is resulting in a relatively low standard of care.

Ch

Key View

• Pandemic challenges will continue to weigh on the Bangladesh economy.
• The proposed national budget falls short on health, leaving Bangladesh in a position of being one of South Asia's lowest-spending countries in terms of GDP.
• A lack of critical funding for public health services will severely limit patient access to medical care.

Key View

• We at Fitch Solutions maintain our forecast for Bangladesh real GDP growth to recover slightly to 6.0% in FY2020/21 (July-June), from the government’s estimate of 5.2% in FY2019/20.
• While there is no change in our FY2020/21 headline growth forecast, we have revised down our forecast for exports to grow by 1.0% in FY2020/21 versus

Key View

• We at Fitch Solutions maintain our forecast for Bangladesh to report real GDP growth of 6.0% in FY2020/21 (July 2020 – June 2021), which would mark a strengthening from 5.2% in FY2019/20.
• This is likely to be driven by a recovery in readymade garment exports and ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects in the country.
• While