Content type

China Slowdown To Buffet Growth Recovery In Australia

Country Risk / Australia / Thu 20 Feb, 2020

Key View

  • Following our growth revision for China from 5.9% to 5.6% in 2020, we at Fitch Solutions have reviewed our growth forecast for Australia, bringing it down to 2.0% from 2.3% previously.
  • Our revision is driven by two main factors: the spillover impact on Australia’s external sector of slower China growth; and the negative impact of
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Base Effects To Drive Australia's Recovery In 2020

Country Risk / Australia / Fri 06 Dec, 2019

Key View

  • Australia’s real GDP growth registered a slight pick-up to 1.7% y-o-y in Q319, from 1.6% y-o-y in Q219, as a smaller drag from inventories offset a broad-based slowdown across domestic demand and a smaller net exports contribution.
  • In light of a softer-than-expected recovery and a weak economic outlook for the final quarter, we are
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Renewables And Transmissions To Drive Australia's Power Sector

Renewables / Australia / Tue 15 Oct, 2019

Key View

  • We believe that there will be an increasing number of projects related to renewable energy over the next decade as Australia seeks to tap on its geographical advantage to produce more clean energy.
  • As for thermal energy, we are more positive on gas projects vis-à-vis coal projects, given the planned shutdowns of several ageing coal
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Further Downside For Australian Interest Rates By End-2020

Country Risk / Australia / Thu 15 Aug, 2019

Key View

  • The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) held its cash rate at 1.00% during its monetary policy meeting on August 6, after 50 basis points (bps) worth of cuts in the year-to-date.
  • We at Fitch Solutions forecast significant downside for interest rates in Australia, and are revising our forecast for the RBA’s policy cash rate to fall to 0
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